Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Technical Analysis of BRAC Bank on 25 Jan 2017

Technical Analysis of BRAC Bank on 25 Jan 2017

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

BRAC Bank is a good company with growth potentials.

Fundamental Analysis: It is a growth company that has been increasing Cash Dividends. Business seems to be good. 42% shares are held by “Foreign” clients. Only ~6% free float. It seems market is pricing bKash’s expected profit into BRAC Bank’s price.



2013
2014
2015
Profit
1,419
2,102
2,184
EPS
2.20
2.96
3.08
Dividend
10%B + 10%C
20%C
25%C
NOCFPS
11
15
14

PE ~ 14

Now to the Technicals: BRAC moves in a classic technical formation with up moves followed by a period of consolidation (retracement) before the next up move. It is above a 5 year high with no overhead Resistance – sky is the limit (similar to BNICL chart http://imti77az.blogspot.com/2017/01/technical-analysis-of-bnicl-on-17-jan.html).

Recently it broke 68 Resistance (which should be Support from now on) and faces Next Resistance at 72. Now if it re-tests 68 from above and then moves up . . . we might see a Bullish move.

It is actually a share sought out by Fundamental Analysts – break out traders might risk it (stop loss at 66).

68 might seem pricey? A year from now, we would know after checking back ...

Bulls starting last in line might be caught by the bears!!!


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