Tuesday, February 21, 2017

Technical Analysis of BATBC on 21 Feb 2017

Technical Analysis of BATBC on 21 Feb 2017

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

As BATBC is quite il-liquid, I don’t think Technical Analysis will apply to it. Still I will give it a try.

It is one of the best fundamental stocks in Bangladesh Share Market – I will be using numbers from Dhaka Stock Exchange.

It is the market leader in Tobacco with “healthy!” profit growth. Moreover, it has huge Cash Reserves.



2012
2013
2014
2015
Q3 '16
Profit
3,942
4,869
6,282
5,846
5,432
EPS
65.70
81.15
104.70
97.43
90.53
Dividend
500% C
620% C
550 % C
550%C

NOCFPS
89
100
79
152


EPS over 100 – wow!
PE ~ 20 &
~25% Annual Profit growth except 2015.

Now to the Technicals: Nothing overly optimistic yet – but it seems that supply is exhausted at 2400-2500 level. With 2016 Declarations coming up, a Bull move to 2700, then ~3000 is possible.

Stop Loss would be 2390.

I have opted to leave out the chart as declaration is on 27 Feb '17 (and as the analysis will probably fail)!

Do you want to invest in a company whose products might induce lung cancer?


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