Sunday, June 1, 2025

Technical Analysis of SIMTEX (for trading)

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

After the down move from mid-Feb 2025, we could expect a counter-trend.

Might not be much - a probable move to 16~17.

SL if it goes below 14.9.





City Bank as an investment option (4 of 20)

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Usually City Bank gives ~20% return in a year (after record date to next year declaration).

~18 to 23~24 is a possibility for next 11 months.

Allocating 5% of equity for City Bank might be a reasonable option.

Technically, there was a rally in mid-2024. 

Then we see a correction.

Hopefully we might get another rally in future.






Sunday, May 4, 2025

UPGDCL as an investment option (3 of 20)

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Technically, UPGDCL is in a down trend. However, q3 results today were better than LY same period. Assuming a good Q4, it might give Cash Dividends near 170% C (as in previous years 2021 and 2022). 

Taking CP near 120 (4 May 2025), Yield Scenario seems attractive. 

Recent low was 111 - so risk is somewhat low too.



EBL as an investment option (2 of 20)

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Usually EBL gives ~15-20% return in a year (after record date to next year declaration).

Below 20 to 24~25 is a possibility for next 11 months.

Allocating 5% of equity for EBL might be a reasonable option.




Tuesday, April 22, 2025

Uttara Bank - as an investment option (1 of 20)

This is no buy/sell recommendation - just a trial to see if Technical Analysis (works to an extent) in Dhaka Stock Exchange.

Usually it moves from 19-20 to 25-26 - giving ~25% return in a year.

Allocating 5% of equity for Uttara Bank might be a reasonable option.




Considering previous data and trend, assuming it was bought at Floor during Covid, without dividend re-investment, the holders could enjoy: